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Considering the possible pace of this fight, I would rather bet the over two.five rounds at a pick'em price tag and avoid the prospective for a late-fight, cardio-driven stoppage. I anticipate this fight to reach a selection 53% of the time (-113 implied odds) and anticipate Batusita to win that decision (projected +154, listed +175 at FanDuel) far more normally than not. He also hasn't had the opportunity to employ his offensive wrestling game, with which he can threaten submissions with his world-class jiu-jitsu abilities. This is his 1st 3-round bout considering that late 2021 right after headlining a trio of UFC Fight Night-kind cards. Given the grappling differential, I was surprised to find Rodrigues by submission (projected +182, listed +225) at a much far better price than his knockout prop (projected +218, listed +110). Rodrigues has the expertise benefit everywhere in this matchup, and he's the far superior athlete also. Still, the Brazilian has shown a suspect chin, getting knocked out or wobbled in a number of fights, and he doesn't have the ideal cardio due to his ripped physique. As you can see, I have a somewhat equivalent outlook on the two Ultimate Fighter finale matchups and favor the underdog in both bouts against a pair of strong but comparatively harmless favorites.